2005 Major League Baseball Preview: National League East
Everyone in the division seemed to make marked improvements over the offseason, from a new home for the Expos in Washington to a new center fielder in New York. The only exception to this rule is in Philadelphia, where they now have only themselves to look at as reason for their continually-underachieving club with the dismissal of Larry Bowa. Which acquisition makes the biggest impact? Tim Hudson? Carlos Delgado? Carlos Beltran? It should be a fun year in the East.
Predicted Final Standings
* indicates player was signed on a minor league contract in the off-season.
| Atlanta Braves |
| Finished 1st in division, 2nd in league, 4th overall |
| Marquee Players for 2005 |
Chipper Jones (.248, 30 HR, 96 RBI)
Johnny Estrada (.314, 9 HR, 76 RBI)
John Smoltz (0-1, 2.76 ERA, 44 SV)
Tim Hudson (12-6, 3.53 ERA w/Oakland)
|
| Good Additions | Bad Additions | Key Losses |
P Tim Hudson
OF Raul Mondesi
P Danny Kolb |
OF Brian Jordan |
OF J.D. Drew
P Jose Capellan
P Russ Ortiz
P Jaret Wright |
The 2004 edition of the Atlanta Braves overachieved. With 2004 widely projected as the end of their stranglehold on the National League East, the Braves won with rookies (Adam LaRoche), castoffs (Charles Thomas) and retreads (Jaret Wright) en route to yet another pennant. The 2005 club looks to have just as much if not more promise.
| Rotation |
Tim Hudson (12-6, 3.53 ERA w/Oakland)
John Smoltz (0-1, 2.76 ERA, 44 SV)
John Thomson (14-8, 3.72 ERA)
Mike Hampton (13-9, 4.28 ERA)
Horacio Ramirez (2-4, 2.39 ERA)
Hudson and former closer Smoltz will anchor the rotation, with the resurgent Thomson, second-half wonder Hampton, and Ramirez (recovering from injury) rounding out the front five.
|
| Middle Relief |
Tom Martin (0-1, 3.71 ERA after trade with Los Angeles)
Chris Reitsma (6-4, 4.07 ERA)
Kevin Gryboski (3-2, 2.84 ERA)
Jorge Vasquez (0-0, 8.10 ERA w/Kansas City)
Gabe White (1-3, 6.94 ERA w/Yankees and Cincinnati)
Roman Colon (2-1, 3.32 ERA)
Vasquez, who came over in the Eli Marrero deal, will be counted on to join Reitsma and Gryboski in the late innings. White and Martin will be lefty specialists. |
| Closer |
Danny Kolb (0-4, 2.98 ERA, 39 SV w/Milwaukee)
Kolb, obtained from Milwaukee for Jose Capellan, will replace John Smoltz here. An All-Star himself, Kolb will be the man to replace a legend in Atlanta. |
| Infield |
C Johnny Estrada (.314/9/76)
1B Adam LaRoche (.278/13/45)/Julio Franco (.309/6/57)
2B Marcus Giles (.311/8/48)
SS Rafael Furcal (.279/14/59)
3B Chipper Jones (.248/30/96)
UTIL Nick Green (.273/3/26)
LaRoche experienced a great deal of success as a rookie in 2004 particularly in the second half but will still split time with ageless wonder Franco. Giles, Furcal and Jones are all All-Star caliber infielders, and will round out a solid Braves infield in 2005.
|
| Outfield |
Brian Jordan (.222/5/23 w/Texas)
Andruw Jones (.261/29/91)
Raul Mondesi (.241/3/15 w/Pittsburgh and Anaheim)
The Braves turn to two reclamation projects to man the corner outfield spots and to be flanked by Andruw Jones. Jeff Francoeur and/or Ryan Langerhans could figure in here, depending on spring results. |
| Bench Depth |
C Eddie Perez
IF Nick Green
IF Julio Franco
OF Ryan Langerhans
The Braves appear to be slightly thin in terms of depth, but this will not haunt them unless they suffer a string of injuries. |
| Prospect Watch |
OF Jeff Francoeur
IF Andy Marte
P Kyle Davies
Francoeur is a tall, rangy outfielder with good pop and a solid glove. Marte is a corner infielder with great range and hands and a powerful bat. Davies is the top pitching prospect in the Braves organization with the departure of LHP Dan Meyer in the Hudson trade. |
Post-season moves: A-
Team grade: B+
Prediction: 1st in division (92-70)
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| Florida Marlins |
| Finished 3rd in division, 9th in league, 16th overall |
| Marquee Players for 2005 |
1B Carlos Delgado (.269/32/99 w/Toronto)
LHP Al Leiter (10-8, 3.21 w/New York Mets)
OF Miguel Cabrera (.294/33/112)
3B Mike Lowell (.293/27/85)
|
| Good Additions | Bad Additions | Key Losses |
1B Carlos Delgado (.269/32/99 w/Toronto)
LHP Al Leiter (10-8, 3.21 w/Mets)
RHP Jim Mecir (0-5, 3.59 w/A's) |
None |
RHP Carl Pavano (FA - Yankees) |
Many people myself included saw the Marlins as a major player in 2004. They fell short of that expectation, but with Leiter and Delgado on board, this club appears poised for a return to the top of the NL East.
| Rotation |
Al Leiter (10-8, 3.21 w/Mets)
A.J. Burnett (7-6, 3.68)
Ismael Valdez (5-3, 4.50 after trade)
Dontrelle Willis (10-11, 4.02)
Josh Beckett (9-9, 3.79)
This is not the likely order in which these starters will appear, but this is a relatively deep rotation. If Beckett and Willis can return to their rookie year form and not their current .500 form, they should help form a highly-formidable staff.
|
| Middle Relief |
Todd Jones (11-5, 4.15 w/Philadelphia and Cincinnati)
Jim Mecir (0-5, 3.59 w/A's)
John Riedling (5-3, 5.01 w/Reds)
Matt Perisho (5-3, 4.40)
Nate Bump (2-2, 5.01)
The additions of Jones, Mecir, and Riedling help to bolster a bullpen that will need to shorten the game to get to new closer Guillermo Mota. |
| Closer |
Guillermo Mota (0-1, 4.81, 4 SV after trade)
Mota came over from the Dodgers late in the year in 2004, and possesses a solid arsenal of pitches from the closer role. |
| Infield |
C Paul LoDuca (.286/13/80 w/LA and Florida)
1B Carlos Delgado (.269/32/99 w/Toronto)
2B Luis Castillo (.291/2/47)
SS Alex Gonzalez (.232/23/79)
3B Mike Lowell (.293/27/85)
Delgado provides an elite left-handed bat to this infield, and makes an already-potent infield considerably more so. |
| Outfield |
Juan Pierre (.326/3/49, 45 SB)
Miguel Cabrera (.294/33/112)
Juan Encarnacion (.238/3/19 after trade)
This outfield is a perfect mix of speed (Pierre), power (Cabrera), and mediocrity (Encarnacion). Had the Marlins a better third outfielder, they could be a World Series contender. |
| Bench Depth |
C Matt Treanor/Josh Willingham
UTIL Jeff Conine
IF Joe Dillon
IF Damion Easley
Super-subs Easley and Conine team up with Rule 5 pick Dillon and one of the two Marlin catching prospects to form a reasonably solid bench. |
| Prospect Watch |
C Josh Willingham
IF Jason Stokes
OF Chris Aguila
Stokes is a big and powerful corner infielder. Willingham is a solid game manager behind the plate with the potential to have a decent bat. Aguila is a speedy outfielder with good instincts and a strong arm. |
Post-season moves: A
Team grade: B+
Prediction: 2nd in division (90-72)
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| New York Mets |
| Finished 4th in division, 12th in league, 22nd overall |
| Marquee Players for 2005 |
OF Carlos Beltran (.267/38/104 w/Royals and Astros)
C Mike Piazza (.266/20/54)
3B David Wright (.293/14/40)
|
| Good Additions | Bad Additions | Key Losses |
OF Carlos Beltran
RHP Pedro Martinez |
IF Miguel Cairo
LHP Felix Heredia |
LHP Al Leiter |
The Mets continued their trend of large spending for free agents this offseason with Beltran and Martinez. The jury remains out, however, on how successful this club will truly be.
| Rotation |
Pedro Martinez (16-9, 3.90 w/Boston)
Tom Glavine (11-14, 3.60)
Steve Trachsel (12-13, 4.00)
Victor Zambrano (2-0, 3.86 after trade)
Kris Benson (4-4, 4.50 after trade)
Martinez and Glavine form a nice 1-2 punch at the top of the rotation, but the remainder of the rotation is either pretty talented at being average (Trachsel), wild (Zambrano), or vastly overpaid (Benson). |
| Middle Relief |
Mike DeJean (0-5, 4.57)
Heath Bell (0-2, 3.33)
Jae Seo (5-10, 4.90)
Felix Heredia (1-1, 6.28 w/Yankees)
Bartolome Fortunato (0-1, 3.86 after trade)
This is a young staff that must be effective for the Mets to even have remote hopes of staying afloat in the East. Fortunato is a nice young arm, but the rest of the staff is mostly retreads. |
| Closer |
Braden Looper (2-5, 2.70, 29 SV)
Looper seemed to again find himself in the closer role in 2004, but he should not expect to see a whole lot of leads come his way late in games. |
| Infield |
C Mike Piazza (.266/20/54)
1B Doug Mientkiewicz (.238/6/35 w/Minnesota and Boston)
2B/SS Jose Reyes (.255/2/14)
2B/SS Kaz Matsui (.272/7/44)
3B David Wright (.293/14/40)
Mientkiewicz is the cornerstone of the infield, what with his defense and the World Champion ring he will be sporting later this spring. Reyes, Matsui and Wright are three impressive young prospects. Wright should have a 25-30 HR season at the hot corner. |
| Outfield |
Carlos Beltran (.267/38/104)
Cliff Floyd (.260/18/63)
Mike Cameron (.231/30/76)
Beltran was the cream of the free-agent crop, and will be looked upon to continue his production from the 2004 postseason. Floyd and Cameron are coming off injuries, and a return to their pre-injury form would prove greatly beneficial at the corner spots. |
| Bench Depth |
IF Miguel Cairo
UTIL Joe McEwing
C Jason Phillips
OF Ron Calloway
This will be a very versatile bench, now that utility man Miguel Cairo has been added to the preexisting group. Versatility, however, does not always lend itself to results.
|
| Prospect Watch |
OF Angel Pagan
IF Craig Brazell
RHP Alay Soler
The Mets are slightly devoid of prospects, although Pagan and Brazell project well to the majors. |
Post-season moves: B+
Team grade: C
Prediction: 4th in division (73-89)
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| Philadelphia Phillies |
| Finished 2nd in division, 8th in league, 14th overall |
| Marquee Players for 2005 |
LHP Billy Wagner (4-0, 2.42, 21 SV)
OF Bobby Abreu (.301/30/105)
1B Jim Thome (.274/42/105)
|
| Good Additions | Bad Additions | Key Losses |
| RHP Jon Lieber |
OF Kenny Lofton |
RHP Kevin Millwood |
The Phillies finished second in the East in 2004, and did virtually nothing to help their team in the offseason. They will need to do more than this to avoid being overtaken by the Marlins in the East.
| Rotation |
Jon Lieber (14-8, 4.33 w/Yankees)
Cory Lidle (5-2, 3.90 after trade)
Gavin Floyd (4-2, 3.49)
Randy Wolf (5-8, 4.28)
Vicente Padilla (7-7, 4.53)
Brett Myers may also make an appearance in this rotation, but the true gem of this staff is Floyd, assuming he holds true to his minor-league form. |
| Middle Relief |
Terry Adams (6-4, 4.76 w/Toronto and Boston)
Tim Worrell (5-6, 3.68)
Rheal Cormier (4-5, 3.56)
Aaron Fultz (3-3, 5.04 w/Minnesota)
Amaury Telemaco (0-2, 4.31)
This bullpen is marked by the return of Terry Adams and Tim Worrell (one back from Boston, one back from injury), and the addition of a second lefty in Aaron Fultz. |
| Closer |
Billy Wagner (4-0, 2.42, 21 SV)
Wagner is still an elite-level closer, and should be counted on for 35-38 saves, assuming his middle guys can get leads to him. |
| Infield |
C Mike Lieberthal (.271/17/61)
1B Jim Thome (.274/42/105)
2B Placido Polanco (.298/17/55)
SS Jimmy Rollins (.289/14/73)
3B David Bell (.291/18/77)
Last year's infield returns intact. The middle of the infield is solid, and is comparable to any other in the East.
|
| Outfield |
Bobby Abreu (.301/30/105)
Kenny Lofton (.275/3/18 w/Yankees)
Pat Burrell (.257/24/84)
Lofton comes over from the Yankees, and gives the Phillies only a slight upgrade in center. He will, at the least, provide more speed at the top of the lineup. Burrell needs to put the bat on the baseball to avoid being the next Dave Kingman. |
| Bench Depth |
C Todd Pratt
1B Ryan Howard
IF Tomas Perez
IF Chase Utley
OF Shane Victorino
OF Marlon Byrd
Top prospects Howard and Utley are joined by a number of middling veterans on the Phillies bench. |
| Prospect Watch |
RHP Zach Segovia
RHP Ryan Madson
RHP Rob Tejeda
The Phillies' minor league depth is on the hill. Their top two position prospects (Howard and Utley) likely break camp and head north with the team. |
Post-season moves: D
Team grade: C+
Prediction: 3rd in division (83-79)
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| Washington Nationals |
| Finished 5th in division, 15th in league, 27th overall |
| Marquee Players for 2005 |
2B Jose Vidro (.294/14/60)
OF Brad Wilkerson (.255/32/67)
OF Jose Guillen (.294/27/104 w/Anaheim)
|
| Good Additions | Bad Additions | Key Losses |
OF Jose Guillen
SS Cristian Guzman
OF Alex Escobar |
RHP Antonio Osuna
3B Vinny Castilla
|
3B Tony Batista |
Despite making a few steps in the right direction (the most key of all being their departure from Montreal and relocation to Washington), the Nationals are still far behind the rest of the league.
| Rotation |
Tony Armas (2-4, 4.88)
Zach Day (5-10, 3.93)
Livan Hernandez (11-15, 3.60)
Esteban Loaiza (10-7, 5.70 w/White Sox and Yankees)
Jon Rauch (3-0, 1.54)
The rotation looks a bit more promising, with 6'11" beast Rauch and Loaiza joining the three holdovers from last year. Day is a good young arm who can be extremely successful in this league.
|
| Middle Relief |
Joey Eischen (0-1, 3.93)
Luia Ayala (6-12, 2.69)
Tomo Ohka (3-7, 3.40)
Gary Majewski (0-0, 3.86)
Joe Horgan (4-1, 3.15)
There are a vast number of options in the pen, but these guys appear to be the most effective they could throw out there.
|
| Closer |
Chad Cordero (7-3, 2.94, 14 SV)
Cordero is a rising star, and appears to be on track for success in Washington. |
| Infield |
C Brian Schneider (.257/12/49)
1B Nick Johnson (.251/7/33)
2B Jose Vidro (.294/14/60)
SS Cristian Guzman (.274/8/46 w/Minnesota)
3B Vinny Castilla (.271/35/131 w/Colorado)
Brad Wilkerson could also get some time at first, but the entire left side of the infield was overhauled as well. IThere should not be a large reason to have a lot of faith in this infield. |
| Outfield |
Brad Wilkerson (.255/32/67)
Jose Guillen (.294/27/104 w/Anaheim)
Terrmel Sledge (.269/15/62)
This is one of the stronger areas for the Nationals, as there is quality at every position. The Nationals appear to be okay in the minors here, as well. |
| Bench Depth |
IF Jamey Carroll
IF Wil Cordero
OF Ryan Church
OF Alex Escobar
J.J. Davis may head north with the club, as well, after coming over from the Pirates. Former Red Sox and Reds farmhand Tony Blanco is also a possibility here, and they will likely be joined by C Gary Bennett. |
| Prospect Watch |
OF Ryan Church
IF Larry Broadway
LHP Michael Hinckley
Broadway is probably the Nationals' top prospect, and appears to have a bright future as a hitter. Church is a speedy outfielder who impressed during his brief stay in Montreal in 2004. Hinckley is on the 40-man roster, and may start at AAA New Orleans. |
Post-season moves: C+
Team grade: C-
Prediction: 5th in division (69-93)
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